ZTO Express Poised for Growth: Set to Report 3Q23 Results Amid Rising Market Share in China's Evolving E-commerce Logistics

2023-11-15

ZTO Express is set to report its 3Q23 results on November 16th, with expectations of neutral performance due to its strong correlation with the currently sluggish Chinese e-commerce sector. 


However, the long-term outlook for ZTO remains positive, bolstered by the entry of new major players in China's e-commerce market, such as ByteDance, Kuaishou, and XiaoHongShu, all requiring logistics services. 


ZTO, being a top choice, is likely to gain more orders and increase its market share. 


The overall recovery of China's economy is expected to benefit both e-commerce and logistics sectors. 


In 3Q23, the express parcel volume in China grew by 16.7% year-over-year, with ZTO's parcel volume expected to increase by 21.9% year-over-year to 7,760M. 


ZTO's market share has also seen a slight increase, reaching an estimated 24.0% in 3Q23, up from 23.5% in 2Q23, outperforming its competitors in both service quality and market share growth.


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