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The third quarter of 2023 unveils intriguing developments in China's retail landscape.
Following a dip to a 2.5% Y/Y growth in July, the sector showed resilience, climbing to 5.5% by September's end.
This upward trajectory comes despite the economic challenges, with ecommerce entities, including JD, grappling with a slower-than-anticipated recovery.
The central government's much-awaited economic stimulus was only rolled out in August, a move possibly catalyzed by the decisions of the Politburo Meeting on Economy in July.
Parallelly, aggressive medium-term lending facility operations were underway, peaking at RMB591B in September.
Amidst this backdrop, JD projects its 3Q23E total net revenue to touch RMB 251.0B, reflecting a 3.1% Y/Y growth and surpassing market estimates.
The revenue split provides further insights: while product revenues are poised for a modest 1.2% Y/Y growth at RMB199.4B, service revenues look promising with a projected 10.8% Y/Y surge, reaching RMB51.6B.
However, it's noteworthy that the latter's growth rate reflects a slowdown from the previous quarter, largely attributed to the annual effects of the Deppon Group's consolidation.